Beta — synthesis improving

Which NFL field goal record could be broken in 2026?

3 modelsComplete

80%Consensus Score — 3 models converged on the same answer. High confidence.

🟢Semantic Entropy — Convergent · 1 distinct meaning across 3 responsesH=0%

80%

consensus

Mostly aligned

How much the models agreed on this answer

High agreement — the answer is well-supported across models.

Models agree on

✓The single-season field goal record of 44 makes is the most likely to be broken in 2026
✓Justin Tucker, Matt Prater, and Brett Maher are top contenders due to their high attempt volume and accuracy
✓Increased league-wide field goal attempts and stable rules support the record being broken
✓High-altitude and indoor venues provide an advantage for kickers

Points of disagreement

~Phi-4 focused on career records (e.g., most points or FGs), while others emphasized single-season or single-game marks
~Nemotron 49B highlighted the longest FG record as a primary contender, while GPT OSS 120B ranked it as secondary

The NFL single-season field goal record of 44 makes (held by Rob Bironas in 2007 and tied by Gary Anderson in 1998) is the most likely to be broken in 2026. This view is supported by several key factors:

·Increased Attempts: League-wide field goal attempts per team have risen from ~31 in 2010 to ~36 in 2023, with elite kickers like Justin Tucker, Matt Prater, and Brett Maher regularly exceeding 50 attempts per season.
·Offensive Trends: Teams with strong running games and short-field passing (e.g., Bengals, Lions) often settle for field goals, creating more opportunities.
·Rule Stability: No upcoming rule changes are expected to make kicking harder, and the 33-yard line placement remains unchanged through 2026.
·Kicker Quality: Modern kickers like Tucker (career 86-89% accuracy) combine high volume with elite precision, making 44+ makes feasible at an 80-85% conversion rate.
·Venue Advantages: High-altitude stadiums (Denver, future Albuquerque dome) and indoor venues boost accuracy and range.

Other Potential Records:

·Longest Field Goal (66 yards): Advances in training and equipment could push this to 67+ yards, especially by power kickers like Tucker or Prater.
·Consecutive Makes (28): Elite accuracy from kickers like Tucker or Younghoe Koo (~89%) could challenge this streak.
·Single-Season FG% (96.15%): A near-perfect season (e.g., 30/31) is plausible for top-tier kickers.

Less Likely:

·Career Records (e.g., Vinatieri’s 658 FGs): Require decades of play; active leaders (Tucker, Gostkowski) are too far behind.
·Single-Game FGs (8): Rare defensive slugfests would be needed for 9+ attempts.

Bottom Line:

The 44-FG season record is the clear frontrunner for 2026, with longest FG and consecutive makes as secondary contenders. Watch for high-volume kickers on run-heavy teams or in favorable venues.

Which NFL field goal record could be broken in 2026?

Other Potential Records:

Less Likely:

Bottom Line:

Want GPT-5, Claude, Gemini & more on the same question?